Odds calculator
Crash calculator: cash-out probability
A 2.00× cash-out succeeds in 49.50% of Crash rounds, about 1 in 2.02. Whatever target you pick, the expected return is 99%, and 1% of rounds bust at 1.00×.
Odds calculator
A 2.00× cash-out succeeds in 49.50% of Crash rounds, about 1 in 2.02. Whatever target you pick, the expected return is 99%, and 1% of rounds bust at 1.00×.
| Cash-out | Chance | 1 in | Expected return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.01× | 98.02% | 1.02 | 99.00% |
| 1.10× | 90.00% | 1.11 | 99.00% |
| 1.20× | 82.50% | 1.21 | 99.00% |
| 1.25× | 79.20% | 1.26 | 99.00% |
| 1.50× | 66.00% | 1.52 | 99.00% |
| 1.75× | 56.57% | 1.77 | 99.00% |
| 2.00× | 49.50% | 2.02 | 99.00% |
| 2.50× | 39.60% | 2.53 | 99.00% |
| 3.00× | 33.00% | 3.03 | 99.00% |
| 4.00× | 24.75% | 4.04 | 99.00% |
| 5.00× | 19.80% | 5.05 | 99.00% |
| 7.50× | 13.20% | 7.58 | 99.00% |
| 10.00× | 9.90% | 10.1 | 99.00% |
| 15.00× | 6.60% | 15.2 | 99.00% |
| 20.00× | 4.95% | 20.2 | 99.00% |
| 25.00× | 3.96% | 25.3 | 99.00% |
| 50.00× | 1.98% | 50.5 | 99.00% |
| 100.00× | 0.990% | 101 | 99.00% |
| 250.00× | 0.396% | 253 | 99.00% |
| 500.00× | 0.198% | 505 | 99.00% |
| 1,000× | 0.0990% | 1,010 | 99.00% |
| 5,000× | 0.0198% | 5,051 | 99.00% |
| 10,000× | 0.00990% | 10,101 | 99.00% |
| 100,000× | 0.000990% | 101,010 | 99.00% |
| 1,000,000× | 0.0000990% | 1,010,101 | 99.00% |
The crash point is fixed before the round starts as 0.99 ÷ u for a uniform random u, floored at 1.00×. The chance the multiplier reaches t before crashing is therefore 0.99 ÷ t.
Cashing out at t pays t, so the expected return is t × 0.99 ÷ t = 99% for every target. The 1% of rounds where 0.99 ÷ u falls below 1 bust at 1.00×, before any cash-out is possible. One round can return at most $250,000 in total.
No target has a better expected return: every cash-out point returns 99% on average. Low targets win often and pay little; high targets win rarely and pay a lot.
1% of rounds bust at 1.00×, before any cash-out is possible. That is how the 1% house edge is built in.